Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has converted a whopping 7.4 buckets per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.0 rate last year.
Scottie Barnes has converted an impressive 1.9 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.8 rate last year.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 5th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have tallied 5.0 3-point attempts per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, resulting in a challenging matchup.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team has collected 10.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense).
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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