Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has averaged an impressive 20.1 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 15.4 points per game last season.
Scottie Barnes has attempted 5.3 treys per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.9 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's lackluster 108.2 points per game when playing at home rates 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Bucks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 10th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3).
The 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year has been the Raptors.
This year, their opposition has collected 11.9 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

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