Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has attempted 13.5 field goals per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
This matchup is a tough one for threes; when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home, opposing clubs have posted the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (34.8%).
The Raptors will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-fastest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 14thbest in in the league on the road with 13.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Scottie Barnes ranks in the 18th percentile for three-point prowess with a a bad 25.1% rate since the start of last season.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Milwaukee Bucks are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.3).
The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Toronto Raptors.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.7 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road (11th-least in the league).