Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-150/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes registers in the 84th percentile for shots from the field away from his home court, logging 13.2 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.4 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)% in home games, Scottie Barnes's free-throw ability has risen by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 5 games on his home court.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.4 foul shots per game this year (23rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes comes in at the 76th percentile for technical fouls, logging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game on the road this year.
The Raptors rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.9).
The 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should reduce plays for the Raptors.