Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has attempted 13.3 shots per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.9).
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has converted 24.9% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Celtics have the home court advantage (14th-least in the NBA).
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance for all stats.