Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has sunk 50.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 8.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this year away from home.
Scottie Barnes has tallied 34.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.9).
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 0.1 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The matchup against the Celtics may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (14th-least in the NBA).
Scottie Barnes will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.