Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has made 6.2 field goals per game at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most threes per game in the league this year (2.2).
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has converted 24.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, placing him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Scottie Barnes has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).