Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has converted 6.2 baskets per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Scottie Barnes has played 34.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has made 24.7% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 16th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Scottie Barnes has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage in terms of 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs since the start of last season (14.6).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.