Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has averaged 34.7 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup against Chicago is a good one for scoring; when the Bulls are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have put up the 29th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (47.6%).
The Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has successfully made 24.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking in the 16th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Scottie Barnes has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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