Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 5:02 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has converted 54.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes has made 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year away from home.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a challenging one; when the Pistons are playing at home, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (15.4).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
While playing at home, the Pistons have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).