Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes has successfully made 87.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 11.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Pelicans are on the road (27th-most in the league).
Scottie Barnes will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has made 24.7% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the league.
Scottie Barnes has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.9).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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