Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has attempted 13.1 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Scottie Barnes has attempted 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year on their home court (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Hawks.
The matchup against the Hawks is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing teams have tallied the 7th-most treys per game in the league this year (11.4).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hawks is a challenging one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a measly 27.0 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year (3rd-least in the league).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.

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