Scottie Barnes Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +127 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. Washington is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Wizards are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 12th-least three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.4).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.