Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:22 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has compiled 5.9 assists per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
Scottie Barnes has averaged 35.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Raptors are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the 3rd-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 11.2 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can spark further chances for offense).
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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