Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has put up 5.6 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders in this category in recent days: 93rd percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 9thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Scottie Barnes will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league on the road this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Raptors.
Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

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