Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has totaled 5.5 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 88th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Scottie Barnes lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).
Scottie Barnes should get a boost in production in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.

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