Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has posted 4.9 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 88th percentile.
Scottie Barnes has played 34.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).
Scottie Barnes stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats on account of playing away from hom in this game.

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