Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has totaled 4.9 assists per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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