Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has tallied 4.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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