Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has put up 5.8 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.1 more than he's put up in all games this year on the road.
Scottie Barnes has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which should decrease opportunities for the Raptors.
The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance across the board.

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