Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has put up 5.8 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.1 higher than he's put up in all games this season on the road.
Scottie Barnes has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Scottie Barnes will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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