Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has totaled 5.8 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.1 more than he's totaled over the course of the season on the road.
Scottie Barnes has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to decrease plays for the Raptors.
Scottie Barnes will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production for all stats.

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