Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has tallied 4.8 assists per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category recently.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should increase opportunities for the Kings.
With the home court advantage, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers stat production across the board.

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