Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has totaled 4.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent games.
Scottie Barnes has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year while on their home court (which can also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

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