Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has tallied 4.9 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent games: 89th percentile.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Trail Blazers.

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