Scoot Henderson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Scoot Henderson

NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 2.8 three-pointers per game (5th-most in the league) against the Hawks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scoot Henderson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 12.9 mark, Scoot Henderson's shots have fallen this year to 10.5 per game.
The Trail Blazers check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Scoot Henderson has sunk 64.3% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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