Scoot Henderson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Scoot Henderson

NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scoot Henderson has attempted 14.4 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.
The 9th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scoot Henderson has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
Scoot Henderson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Scoot Henderson has shot and missed 2.8 3-point attempts per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 75th percentile for misses .
Out of all players in the NBA, Scoot Henderson lands in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game this year.
The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a hard one; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (12.2).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.

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