Scoot Henderson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scoot Henderson has attempted 14.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Scoot Henderson has sunk 41.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 12.1% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team has shot 33.4% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scoot Henderson will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Scoot Henderson has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
In regard to scoring, the Trail Blazers's subpar 107.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).
This year when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (retaining possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).