Scoot Henderson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 15, 2024

Updated Feb 16, 2024 2:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scoot Henderson has successfully made 50.2% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.6% higher than he's made in all games this season.
The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 22nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (38.3%).
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).
Scoot Henderson stands to see a spike in output in all stat categories as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Scoot Henderson has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 35.8% rate of sunk threes as the home team comes in as the fewest in the NBA this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).