Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 20, 2025 5:19 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 5.0 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 89th percentile.
The quickest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.2 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
Santi Aldama will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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