Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has put up 5.0 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 90th percentile.
The fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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