Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 10, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 1:23 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 5.6 defensive rebounds per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama ought to get a boost in performance across the board due to having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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