Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has totaled 2.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 0.6 more than he's totaled over the course of the year on the road.
Santi Aldama has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Santi Aldama registers in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Santi Aldama will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance across the board.

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