Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs New York Knicks · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has posted 5.8 defensive boards per game while at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category.
The speediest tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama stands to see a rise in output across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace road team in the league this year (the Knicks).

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