Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has tallied 5.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent days.
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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