Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has put up 6.6 defensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's hottest in this category recently: 94th percentile.
Santi Aldama has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the league (20th percentile).
The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama stands to see an increase in productivity across the board considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Grizzlies.

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