Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 2:19 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 5.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category in recent games.
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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