Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has posted 5.8 defensive boards per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's best by this standard over this stretch.
The fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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