Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has posted 8.5 rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 94th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, putting up just 1.1 fouls per game this year.
The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama should see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

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