Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 5.6 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric in recent games.
Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama lands in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Santi Aldama should get a boost in productivity for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Grizzlies.

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