Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 1:51 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 5.6 rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 86th percentile.
Santi Aldama has averaged 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Warriors).
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.

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