Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -144 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has tallied 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Santi Aldama has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to raise opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama lands in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, putting up a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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