Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 1:22 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has put up 5.6 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 86th percentile.
Santi Aldama stands to see an increase in production across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.7 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

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