Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 5.5 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 85th percentile.
Santi Aldama should see a spike in productivity in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, their opposition has nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

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