Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-106).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 4.5 defensive boards per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games.
Santi Aldama has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama ranks in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the most sluggish pace home team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 9thworst in in the league with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While at home, the New York Knicks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama figures to suffer a drop-off in production for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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