Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:23 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 6.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.4 more than he's compiled in all games this year at home.
Santi Aldama has played 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Away from home, the Warriors have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 5thworst in in the league while at home with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

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