Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 4.4 defensive boards per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch of games.
The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama is expected to get a boost in production in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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