Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has totaled 5.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's totaled overall this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Pacers).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (80th percentile).
The Grizzlies have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama stands to see a decline in output for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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