Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 6.0 rebounds per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama figures to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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