Santi Aldama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has compiled 4.5 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard recently: 85th percentile.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league on the road with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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